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PoliticsresignPete Hegseth out

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

Live

Yes
27.5 % chance
No
72.5 % chance
$76.5K
126

Trading opened Oct 2, 2026 18:14 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 1, 2026 04:59 UTC

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 27.5 %chance
  • Yes 27.5¢ · No 72.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

28.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
27.5¢
Yes price now
1.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
273
Tagged holders
88

Top holders

  • Un…erNo37,790
  • Th…meYes58,760
  • Po…ntYes36,300
  • gu…ipYes24,977
  • l…gNo14,087

See who's really positioned here

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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank