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World · US electionsBrazil

Question

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?

Live

Yes
12.5 % chance
No
87.5 % chance
$104.77
3

Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 18:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 5, 2026 04:59 UTC

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo → all 42 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 12.5 %chance
  • Yes 12.5¢ · No 87.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

10.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
12.5¢
Yes price now
2.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
2
Smart money
1

Top holders

  • T…2No400
  • or…asYes768.4
  • do…meNo121
  • no…erNo85
  • ne…meNo79.4

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Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank