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World · US electionsBrazil

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

Live

$7.0K
$8.1K
58
$13.0K
$194.0K

The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.

  • Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems37.5%
  • Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems28.5%
  • Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Reps12.5%
  • Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Reps12.0%
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Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Questions in this event

12 open · 30 never traded

Chance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.

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30 more that never traded

Event facts

Category
World · US elections
Structure
Exactly one question can win
Fee
4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
UMA bond
$500
Resolver
Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
Questions
12 open · 30 never traded
Fills, last 24 h
109
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
14,305 shares
  1. Created
  2. First trade

Who is trading this event

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The largest holders of each question with a free account; the ranked active traders and tagged-wallet flow with the full metrics.

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections. For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026 Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve according to the sources named in the three markets linked above.

This event has 42 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

It can settle from Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.

Prices as of Oct 7, 2026 00:57 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.