Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo
Live
- $7.0K
- $8.1K
- 58
- $13.0K
- $194.0K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems37.5%
- Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems28.5%
- Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Reps12.5%
- Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Reps12.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
12 open · 30 never tradedChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 37.5 %
Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems
$5.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 37.5¢No 62.5¢ - 28.5 %
Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems
$193.34 traded, 24 h
Yes 28.5¢No 71.5¢ - 12.5 %
Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Reps
$104.77 traded, 24 h
Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢ - 12.0 %
Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Reps
$159.63 traded, 24 h
Yes 12.0¢No 88.0¢ - 5.0 %
Lula, Netanyahu, Dems
$177.12 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢ - 4.7 %
Bolsonaro, Bennett, Reps
$151.66 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.7¢No 95.3¢ - 4.5 %
Lula, Eizenkot, Reps
$151.20 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 4.5 %
Lula, Eizenkot, Dems
$148.85 traded, 24 h
Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢ - 3.7 %
Bolsonaro, Bennett, Dems
$142.06 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.7¢No 96.3¢ - 3.6 %
Lula, Netanyahu, Reps
$167.86 traded, 24 h
Yes 3.6¢No 96.4¢
30 more that never traded
- No quote now
Candidate A
- No quote now
Candidate AA
- No quote now
Candidate AB
- No quote now
Candidate AC
- No quote now
Candidate B
- No quote now
Candidate C
- No quote now
Candidate D
- No quote now
Candidate E
- No quote now
Candidate F
- No quote now
Candidate G
- No quote now
Candidate H
- No quote now
Candidate I
- No quote now
Candidate J
- No quote now
Candidate K
- No quote now
Candidate L
- No quote now
Candidate M
- No quote now
Candidate N
- No quote now
Candidate O
- No quote now
Candidate P
- No quote now
Candidate Q
- No quote now
Candidate R
- No quote now
Candidate S
- No quote now
Candidate T
- No quote now
Candidate U
- No quote now
Candidate V
- No quote now
Candidate W
- No quote now
Candidate X
- No quote now
Candidate Y
- No quote now
Candidate Z
- No quote now
Other
Event facts
- Category
- World · US elections
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 12 open · 30 never traded
- Fills, last 24 h
- 109
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 14,305 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections. For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026 Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve according to the sources named in the three markets linked above.
This event has 42 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 7, 2026 00:57 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.