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World · US electionsBrazil

Question

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?

Live

Yes
37.5 % chance
No
62.5 % chance
$4.4K
31

Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 18:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 5, 2026 04:59 UTC

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo → all 42 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 37.5 %chance
  • Yes 37.5¢ · No 62.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

35.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
37.5¢
Yes price now
2.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
37
Smart money
19

Top holders

  • Sn…onNo9,187
  • mr…ziYes5,600
  • ba…laYes1,000
  • T…2Yes560
  • co…boYes500

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