World · US electionsBrazil
Question
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?
Live
Yes
4.5 % chance
No
95.5 % chance
$151.20
7
Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 18:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 5, 2026 04:59 UTC
Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo → all 42 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 4.5 %chance
- Yes 4.5¢ · No 95.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
10.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
4.5¢
Yes price now
5.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
7
Smart money
6
Top holders
- C…MNo85
- Sn…onNo41
- mi…ktNo18.7
- Lu…ysNo14.9
- A…VYes84.8
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