World · US electionsBrazil
Question
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Live
Yes
4.5 % chance
No
95.5 % chance
$148.85
7
Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 18:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 5, 2026 04:59 UTC
Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo → all 42 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 4.5 %chance
- Yes 4.5¢ · No 95.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
10.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
4.5¢
Yes price now
5.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
6
Smart money
6
Top holders
- Sn…onNo138.2
- gr…19No85
- A…VYes176.6
- ba…arNo21.6
- ca…48No20
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