World · US electionsBrazil
Question
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?
Live
Yes
3.6 % chance
No
96.4 % chance
$167.86
6
Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 18:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 5, 2026 04:59 UTC
Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo → all 42 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 3.6 %chance
- Yes 3.6¢ · No 96.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
5.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.6¢
Yes price now
1.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
6
Smart money
5
Top holders
- sm…ptNo85
- Sn…onNo53.6
- ba…arNo41.6
- A…VYes136
- Pr…onNo26.5
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