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World · US electionsBrazil

Question

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?

Live

Yes
3.2 % chance
No
96.8 % chance
$167.16
6

Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 18:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 5, 2026 04:59 UTC

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo → all 42 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 3.2 %chance
  • Yes 3.2¢ · No 96.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

3.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.2¢
Yes price now
0.0¢
Holders paid the current price
24h fills
6
Smart money
5

Top holders

  • qu…elNo85
  • ba…arNo41.6
  • Li…ueNo31.5
  • mi…ktNo18.7
  • Lu…ysNo14.9

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Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank