World · US electionsBrazil
Question
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Live
Yes
5.0 % chance
No
95.0 % chance
$177.12
9
Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 18:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 5, 2026 04:59 UTC
Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo → all 42 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 5.0 %chance
- Yes 5.0¢ · No 95.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
10.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.0¢
Yes price now
5.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
9
Smart money
8
Top holders
- mi…27No85
- ba…arNo41.6
- Nu…94Yes122
- Ex…anNo26.5
- mi…ktNo18.7
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