World · US electionsBrazil
Question
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?
Live
Yes
1.6 % chance
No
98.4 % chance
$172.47
6
Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 18:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 5, 2026 04:59 UTC
Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo → all 42 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.6 %chance
- Yes 1.6¢ · No 98.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.6¢
Yes price now
1.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
6
Smart money
5
Top holders
- go…26No85
- ba…arNo41.6
- Pu…erNo26.5
- mi…ktNo18.7
- Lu…ysNo14.9
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