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Politics · GeopoliticsNorth Korea missile test

Question

Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?

Live

Yes
64.5 % chance
No
35.5 % chance
$1.5K
31

Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 00:08 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in October 2026? → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 64.5 %chance
  • Yes 64.5¢ · No 35.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

27.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
65.5¢
Yes price now
37.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
83
Smart money
24

Top holders

  • ka…szNo802.4
  • Pe…YFNo511.1
  • A…VNo454.6
  • R…bYes535.9
  • Fa…anYes559.6

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Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank