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Stocks · S&P 500 (SPX)S&P 500 monthly hit

Question

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?

Live

Yes
5.5 % chance
No
94.5 % chance
$16.54
2

Trading opened Jan 7, 2026 02:32 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 31, 2026 21:00 UTC

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December? → all 19 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 5.5 %chance
  • Yes 5.5¢ · No 94.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

12.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.5¢
Yes price now
6.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
1
Smart money
1

Top holders

  • Av…axNo5,261
  • cr…meNo4,817
  • ng…00Yes5,552
  • Ti…itYes4,103
  • PA…STNo1,500

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Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank