What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
Live
- $7.7K
- $258.0K
- 11
- $153.4K
- $126.6K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- ↓ $7,40063.5%
- ↑ $8,00052.0%
- ↓ $7,20033.0%
- ↓ $7,00029.0%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
14 open · 5 settledChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- 63.5 %
↓ $7,400
Yes 63.5¢No 36.5¢ - 52.0 %
↑ $8,000
$15.50 traded, 24 h
Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢ - 33.0 %
↓ $7,200
Yes 33.0¢No 67.0¢ - 29.0 %
↓ $7,000
$6.85 traded, 24 h
Yes 29.0¢No 71.0¢ - 21.0 %
↑ $8,200
$120.26 traded, 24 h
Yes 21.0¢No 79.0¢ - 17.2 %
↓ $6,200
$1.7K traded, 24 h
Yes 17.2¢No 82.8¢ - 10.5 %
↓ $6,000
$993.70 traded, 24 h
Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢ - 10.0 %
↓ $5,800
$616.02 traded, 24 h
Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢ - 9.9 %
↓ $4,500
$2.5K traded, 24 h
Yes 9.9¢No 90.1¢ - 5.5 %
↑ $8,600
$26.54 traded, 24 h
Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢
Event facts
- Category
- Stocks · S&P 500 (SPX)
- Series
- S&P 500 monthly hit · monthly
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- Varies by question
- Resolution terms
- Varies by question
- Questions
- 14 open · 5 settled
- Fills, last 24 h
- 27
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 8,642 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December 2026?
This event has 19 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
5 of the 19 have settled; ↑ $7,400, ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,800, ↓ $6,400, ↓ $6,600 settled Yes.
The result is checked against finance.yahoo.com. Open the source
It can settle from Dec 31, 2026 21:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 30, 2026 07:20 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.