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Stocks · S&P 500 (SPX)S&P 500 monthly hit

Question

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?

Live

Yes
10.0 % chance
No
90.0 % chance
$2.5K
3

Trading opened Jan 7, 2026 02:32 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 31, 2026 21:00 UTC

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December? → all 19 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 10.0 %chance
  • Yes 10.0¢ · No 90.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

10.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
10.0¢
Yes price now
0.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
2
Smart money
1

Top holders

  • Av…axNo8,374
  • or…llNo3,814
  • QM…OLNo2,447
  • Al…igNo1,671
  • Ch…stYes3,406

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Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank