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Stocks · S&P 500 (SPX)S&P 500 monthly hit

Question

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?

Live

Yes
4.3 % chance
No
95.7 % chance
$1.7K
2

Trading opened Jan 7, 2026 02:32 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 31, 2026 21:00 UTC

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December? → all 19 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 4.3 %chance
  • Yes 4.3¢ · No 95.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

16.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
4.3¢
Yes price now
12.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
1
Smart money
1

Top holders

  • QM…OLNo9,568
  • st…44No5,539
  • cr…meNo5,000
  • Av…axNo3,165
  • or…llNo3,054

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Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank