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Stocks · S&P 500 (SPX)S&P 500 monthly hit

Question

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?

Live

Yes
21.5 % chance
No
78.5 % chance
$116.90
3

Trading opened Jan 7, 2026 02:32 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 31, 2026 21:00 UTC

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December? → all 19 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 21.5 %chance
  • Yes 21.5¢ · No 78.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

28.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
21.5¢
Yes price now
7.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
10
Smart money
2

Top holders

  • Av…axNo2,833
  • ng…00Yes2,063
  • yi…rsNo1,132
  • li…reNo945
  • Fr…neNo916.5

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Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank