Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio?
Live
Yes
3.6 % chance
No
96.4 % chance
$169.00
11
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 3.6 %chance
- Yes 3.6¢ · No 96.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.6¢
Yes price now
2.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
13
Smart money
10
Top holders
- a…zNo48.3
- pl…erNo30
- xt…meYes143.2
- Fi…icNo16.7
- Va…otNo16.7
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