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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 0%-5%?

Live

Yes
0.4 % chance
No
99.6 % chance
$11.22
3

Trading opened Aug 10, 2026 16:05 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round) → all 13 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.4 %chance
  • Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

4.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.4¢
Yes price now
3.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
2
Tagged holders
2

Top holders

  • Lu…ysNo197.1
  • go…94No175
  • Ju…reNo40.3
  • xt…meYes160.2
  • Lo…tsYes149

See who's really positioned here

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 0%-5%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank