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Question

Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Live

Yes
57.5 % chance
No
42.5 % chance
$1.3K
25

Trading opened Oct 20, 2026 19:32 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

Ballon d'Or 2026: 4th Place → all 51 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 57.5 %chance
  • Yes 57.5¢ · No 42.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

68.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
57.5¢
Yes price now
11.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
41
Smart money
20

Top holders

  • Ti…erNo6,390
  • Ou…emYes3,943
  • Ag…alYes2,039
  • V…2No1,838
  • Il…rmYes1,366

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Will Rodri finish 4th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank