Tech · ScienceMeasles
Question
Will there be at least 4900 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
53.5 % chance
No
46.5 % chance
$787.45
11
Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 14:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 53.5 %chance
- Yes 53.5¢ · No 46.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
9.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
53.5¢
Yes price now
44.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
15
Smart money
10
Top holders
- Wi…chNo185
- tr…e1No71
- b3…5tYes144.3
- Un…onYes100
- f…nNo28.7
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