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Politics · TrumpJames Comey

Question

Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?

Live

Yes
3.1 % chance
No
96.9 % chance
$283.04
7

Trading opened Apr 30, 2026 21:50 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

Who will be arrested before 2027? → all 24 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 3.1 %chance
  • Yes 3.1¢ · No 96.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

7.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.1¢
Yes price now
4.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
6
Smart money
4

Top holders

  • D…KNo4,930
  • DE…ANNo2,022
  • He…isYes2,116
  • ae…s2Yes2,656
  • El…llNo382.5

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Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank