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Politics · US electionsSenate

Question

Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Live · starts Jan 3 18:00 UTC

Yes
1.8 % chance
No
98.2 % chance
$324.95
6

Trading opened Mar 23, 2026 23:10 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

Next Senate Majority Leader? → all 64 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 1.8 %chance
  • Yes 1.8¢ · No 98.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

9.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.8¢
Yes price now
7.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
7
Smart money
5

Top holders

  • G…tYes2,247
  • va…erNo443.9
  • ch…23No329.3
  • sm…ptNo125
  • Lu…ysNo120.3

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Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank