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Politics · Global elections

Question

Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Live

Yes
0.5 % chance
No
99.5 % chance
$225.6K
339

Trading opened Apr 29, 2026 23:57 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 28, 2026 03:59 UTC

Israel Election: Likud # of seats? → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.5 %chance
  • Yes 0.5¢ · No 99.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

38.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.5¢
Yes price now
38.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
2,069
Smart money
184

Top holders

  • Vi…axNo37,813
  • pa…0zYes64,038
  • Lu…ysNo24,480
  • Co…itYes63,896
  • do…meNo25,662

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Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank