Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
Live
- $70.2K
- $543.0K
- 130
- $567.7K
- $367.7K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- 20-2442.0%
- <2027.0%
- 25-2923.5%
- 30-347.5%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
5 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page. The Yes prices of the 5 open questions add up to 100.2¢.
Event facts
- Category
- Politics · Global elections
- Structure
- Exactly one question can win
- Fee
- No trading fee
- UMA bond
- $500
- Resolver
- Neg-risk UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 5 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 650
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 129,520 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This event has 5 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
It can settle from Oct 28, 2026 03:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Oct 25, 2026 07:39 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.