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Politics · Global elections

Question

Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Live

Yes
70.0 % chance
No
30.0 % chance
$197.6K
478

Trading opened Apr 29, 2026 23:57 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 28, 2026 03:59 UTC

Israel Election: Likud # of seats? → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 70.0 %chance
  • Yes 70.0¢ · No 30.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

24.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
64.5¢
Yes price now
40.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
1,721
Smart money
231

Top holders

  • Me…20No79,300
  • fl…ceNo45,537
  • pa…0zYes53,075
  • De…itYes70,479
  • Wo…ctNo31,849

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Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank