Politics · Global elections
Question
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?
Live · starts 13:18 UTC
Yes
86.5 % chance
No
13.5 % chance
$5.3K
44
Trading opened Apr 30, 2026 00:03 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2026 04:59 UTC
NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory? → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 86.5 %chance
- Yes 86.5¢ · No 13.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
42.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
86.5¢
Yes price now
43.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
95
Smart money
29
Top holders
- Ad…shYes2,047
- Ry…21Yes1,786
- ba…arNo918.4
- Bl…85Yes347.2
- w…gYes347.6
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