Politics · Middle EastUS-Iran ceasefire continues
Question
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Live
Yes
25.5 % chance
No
74.5 % chance
$6.3K
43
Trading opened Sep 19, 2026 00:06 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 31, 2026 23:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 25.5 %chance
- Yes 25.5¢ · No 74.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
32.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
25.5¢
Yes price now
6.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
57
Smart money
25
Top holders
- Sq…ntYes26,244
- m…sYes20,459
- VR…amNo14,615
- Va…n9Yes18,799
- al…OnNo11,722
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