PoliticsMerz Out
Question
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?
Live
Yes
11.5 % chance
No
88.5 % chance
$307.78
10
Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 13:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Apr 1, 2027 03:59 UTC
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...? → all 7 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 11.5 %chance
- Yes 11.5¢ · No 88.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
14.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
11.5¢
Yes price now
3.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
12
Smart money
8
Top holders
- go…viNo13,171
- An…erYes8,024
- Se…onNo2,000
- De…onYes2,279
- Fl…ngYes1,591
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