Politics · Middle EastUS-Iran ceasefire continues
Question
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?
Live
Yes
96.5 % chance
No
3.5 % chance
$33.9K
78
Trading opened Oct 3, 2026 14:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 13, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 96.5 %chance
- Yes 96.5¢ · No 3.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
91.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
96.5¢
Yes price now
5.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
117
Smart money
54
Top holders
- co…ryYes42,448
- an…23Yes12,506
- pa…aaYes9,367
- im…cyYes5,618
- Fe…atNo20,181
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