Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio?
Live
Yes
5.6 % chance
No
94.4 % chance
$211.21
11
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 5.6 %chance
- Yes 5.6¢ · No 94.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.6¢
Yes price now
5.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
16
Smart money
8
Top holders
- a…zNo77.3
- Vi…axNo50
- pl…erNo30
- xt…meYes230.1
- Gu…onNo22.9
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