Politics · Middle EastOilHormuz shipping targeted
Question
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 4, 2026?
Live
Yes
95.3 % chance
No
4.7 % chance
$69.85
6
Trading opened Sep 30, 2026 23:58 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 5, 2026 03:59 UTC
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...? → all 31 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 95.3 %chance
- Yes 95.3¢ · No 4.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
80.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
95.3¢
Yes price now
14.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
8
Smart money
4
Top holders
- Kv…anYes111
- Jo…erYes93
- A…VNo114.7
- de…esYes59.7
- Ko…23Yes32.1
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