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Weather · SeattleSeattle Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 45°F or below on November 6?

Live · started Nov 4 10:55 UTC

Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$93.93
6

Trading opened Nov 4, 2026 10:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 6, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Seattle on November 6? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.1 %chance
  • Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

24.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
24.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
5
Smart money
5

Top holders

  • He…ksNo60.2
  • Fr…ysNo60.2
  • Ho…rsNo60.2
  • Mi…tsNo60.2
  • Ha…ysNo52.7

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Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 45°F or below on November 6? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank