Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-01 House election by 20%-25%?
Live
Yes
1.3 % chance
No
98.7 % chance
$41.06
4
Trading opened Aug 10, 2026 16:05 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round) → all 13 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.3 %chance
- Yes 1.3¢ · No 98.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
22.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.3¢
Yes price now
21.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
4
Tagged holders
1
Top holders
- Lu…ysNo99.8
- ba…arNo100
- xt…meYes161.3
- qu…elNo85
- no…erNo85
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