Weather · Natural disasterswater
Question
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation fall below 3,490 ft?
Live
Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$647.70
8
Trading opened Aug 17, 2026 21:49 UTC · Eligible for resolution Apr 16, 2027 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.1 %chance
- Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
4.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
4.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
12
Smart money
7
Top holders
- gm…mgNo554.7
- do…meNo478.2
- Ju…reNo253.3
- Lu…ysNo200.5
- m…dNo145
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