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Question

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Open, no trades in the last 24 h

Yes
8.0 % chance
No
92.0 % chance
$0.00
0

Trading opened Nov 12, 2025 22:45 UTC · Eligible for resolution Mar 2, 2027 04:59 UTC

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? → all 6 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 8.0 %chance
  • Yes 8.0¢ · No 92.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

43.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
8.0¢
Yes price now
35.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
0
Smart money
0

Top holders

  • go…n2Yes55,190
  • Ar…lyNo27,840
  • Or…96Yes13,133
  • in…thNo9,766
  • t…mYes9,000

See who's really positioned here

The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.

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Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.

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Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank