Politics · Middle East
Question
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Live
Yes
12.5 % chance
No
87.5 % chance
$20.1K
16
Trading opened Mar 9, 2026 02:57 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 12.5 %chance
- Yes 12.5¢ · No 87.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
34.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
12.5¢
Yes price now
22.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
24
Smart money
11
Top holders
- st…22No211,987
- Am…inYes136,115
- 3…3Yes157,470
- th…drNo42,808
- Ll…laNo27,935
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