Politics · Middle EastUS-Iran ceasefire continues
Question
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?
Live
Yes
99.2 % chance
No
0.8 % chance
$66.4K
94
Trading opened Oct 3, 2026 14:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 10, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 99.2 %chance
- Yes 99.2¢ · No 0.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
96.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
99.4¢
Yes price now
3.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
134
Smart money
45
Top holders
- Un…erYes36,472
- Tr…OGYes13,083
- ca…otYes8,500
- wu…dhYes7,772
- Lu…02Yes5,858
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