Politics · Middle EastOil
Question
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?
Live
Yes
6.8 % chance
No
93.2 % chance
$4.90
3
Trading opened Jul 8, 2026 19:02 UTC · Eligible for resolution Feb 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal? → all 7 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 6.8 %chance
- Yes 6.8¢ · No 93.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
11.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
6.8¢
Yes price now
4.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
2
Smart money
2
Top holders
- Re…ekNo3,771
- ba…owYes5,551
- do…meNo1,162
- Bi…ggNo820.6
- Vi…axNo720
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