Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?
Live
Yes
1.1 % chance
No
98.9 % chance
$195.79
11
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.1 %chance
- Yes 1.1¢ · No 98.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.1¢
Yes price now
0.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
16
Smart money
7
Top holders
- Vi…axNo60
- a…zNo48.3
- pl…erNo30
- Wi…ndNo22.9
- Mi…eyNo16.7
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