Politics · Middle EastOilHormuz shipping targeted
Question
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 2, 2026?
Live
Yes
95.3 % chance
No
4.7 % chance
$216.46
9
Trading opened Sep 30, 2026 23:58 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 3, 2026 03:59 UTC
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...? → all 31 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 95.3 %chance
- Yes 95.3¢ · No 4.7¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
89.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
95.3¢
Yes price now
5.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
16
Smart money
7
Top holders
- Kv…anYes120
- Pr…rtYes105.8
- Jo…erYes78.5
- A…VNo98.5
- de…esNo45.4
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Create account to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…