World · Ukraine & RussiaRussia
Question
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?
Live
Yes
12.0 % chance
No
88.0 % chance
$5.4K
73
Trading opened Oct 3, 2026 16:48 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 16, 2026 03:59 UTC
Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by...? → all 2 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 12.0 %chance
- Yes 12.0¢ · No 88.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
14.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
12.0¢
Yes price now
2.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
109
Smart money
29
Top holders
- GO…96No4,273
- Su…zaNo1,171
- ta…uwYes2,355
- Su…keNo810.2
- do…e2No783.1
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