Politics · Middle EastIran
Question
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22?
Live · started Nov 7 22:40 UTC
Yes
48.5 % chance
No
51.5 % chance
$3.4K
37
Trading opened Nov 8, 2026 02:48 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 22, 2026 20:29 UTC
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause) → all 5 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 48.5 %chance
- Yes 48.5¢ · No 51.5¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
52.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
49.0¢
Yes price now
3.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
72
Tagged holders
31
Top holders
- 88…12Yes1,045
- De…onNo582.8
- ba…laNo499.4
- m…sYes414.3
- Pa…aINo323.8
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart and the market's fills come with Pro Trader. A free account opens the largest holders of each side and the market's stats.
Create a free accountNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…