Politics · Middle EastOil
Question
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?
Live
Yes
4.8 % chance
No
95.2 % chance
$75.65
3
Trading opened Jul 8, 2026 19:14 UTC · Eligible for resolution Feb 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal? → all 7 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 4.8 %chance
- Yes 4.8¢ · No 95.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
7.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
4.8¢
Yes price now
2.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
2
Smart money
1
Top holders
- do…meNo1,119
- Vi…axNo922.6
- Ho…ssNo536.8
- Re…ekYes2,456
- ba…arNo389.3
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