Politics · Geopolitics
Question
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
Live
Yes
55.5 % chance
No
44.5 % chance
$17.0K
15
Trading opened Jan 4, 2026 17:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 55.5 %chance
- Yes 55.5¢ · No 44.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
40.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
55.5¢
Yes price now
15.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
22
Smart money
11
Top holders
- ge…anNo21,700
- ba…anNo13,900
- sh…anYes11,900
- yi…wuYes11,400
- ne…lyYes9,800
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