Politics · Middle EastOilships transit the Strait of Hormuz
Question
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?
Live
Yes
2.1 % chance
No
97.9 % chance
$7.5K
29
Trading opened Sep 22, 2026 18:24 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 4, 2026 23:59 UTC
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 28? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 2.1 %chance
- Yes 2.1¢ · No 97.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
12.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.2¢
Yes price now
10.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
52
Smart money
25
Top holders
- sa…99No18,730
- Re…16Yes7,500
- ra…woYes3,419
- Ar…n2Yes4,568
- Jo…atYes4,057
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