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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 0.3%-0.6%?

Live

Yes
22.5 % chance
No
77.5 % chance
$629.66
15

Trading opened Nov 4, 2026 19:07 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 21, 2026 04:59 UTC

Mississippi Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 14 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 22.5 %chance
  • Yes 22.5¢ · No 77.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

13.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
23.0¢
Yes price now
9.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
17
Smart money
12

Top holders

  • gm…mgNo462.1
  • su…rdYes610.1
  • ci…esNo80
  • ba…arNo80
  • xt…meYes80.5

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 0.3%-0.6%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank