Politics · US electionsSenate
Question
Will Chris Van Hollen be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Live · starts Jan 3 18:00 UTC
Yes
11.1 % chance
No
88.9 % chance
$554.69
16
Trading opened Mar 23, 2026 23:10 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 11.1 %chance
- Yes 11.1¢ · No 88.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
7.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
11.1¢
Yes price now
3.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
38
Smart money
15
Top holders
- Th…meYes991.4
- wh…stYes801.3
- Ha…thNo149.7
- xt…meNo144.3
- qu…elNo125
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