Politics · US electionsUnited States
Question
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live · starts Nov 7 12:00 UTC
Yes
3.1 % chance
No
96.9 % chance
$304.16
9
Trading opened Jul 11, 2025 19:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2028 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 3.1 %chance
- Yes 3.1¢ · No 96.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
5.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.1¢
Yes price now
2.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
55
Smart money
3
Top holders
- Re…ekYes195,829
- Th…MANo100,350
- ba…llYes453,146
- be…ngNo78,416
- J…RNo38,620
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