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Politics · Trump

Question

Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?

Live

Yes
2.5 % chance
No
97.5 % chance
$12.19
2

Trading opened Apr 21, 2026 19:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year? → all 8 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 2.5 %chance
  • Yes 2.5¢ · No 97.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

20.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.5¢
Yes price now
18.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
4
Smart money
1

Top holders

  • ae…s2No207
  • a…zNo102.4
  • Be…onYes100
  • ro…uuYes192.4
  • Ad…stNo27

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Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank