Politics · US elections
Question
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan?
Live
Yes
0.9 % chance
No
99.1 % chance
$234.74
12
Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 22:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 23:59 UTC
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? → all 128 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.9 %chance
- Yes 0.9¢ · No 99.1¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.9¢
Yes price now
0.4¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
18
Smart money
7
Top holders
- pl…erNo60
- a…zNo59
- xt…meYes209.1
- Me…elNo22.9
- Wi…ndNo16.7
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Create account to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…